http://www.coachcox.co.uk/2015/10/22/20 ... d-numbers/
(exemples:
http://www.coachcox.co.uk/wp-content/up ... ummary.pdf
http://www.coachcox.co.uk/wp-content/up ... 6m1824.pdf)
Thursday, October 22nd, 2015
2016 Kona Qualification in More Detailed Numbers
A month back I looked at the numbers behind Kona qualification, focussing on the allocation of slots to races and to age groups within them. Knowing how many slots will be available to your age group is a small part of picking a suitable qualifier, but more important than the number of slots are the finish times required to claim them. How many would-be Kona qualifiers have spent an evening reviewing past results trying to work out the splits they’d need in order to qualify?
Since I posted those estimates of Kona slot allocations for the 2016 season I’ve rewritten some of my analysis tools to pull out previous times and splits and to tabulate that data for each age group. It’s a lot of information. For those who just want a summary I’ve produced two reports covering slot allocations and times for men and women. For those wanting more detail I’ve produced age group reports that detail past results and average splits for every qualifying position.
Before I present the data a few notes on the analysis. There is no accounting for roll down here, figures represent the times required to automatically qualify for a slot at a given race. If a race has 6 slots in 2016 then I’ve looked at split times for the top 6 age groupers in all previous races. Some race results have been excluded from averages where course changes heavily skewed times (e.g. where a swim is cut in half). Finally, there are probably mistakes in here; I’ve spent a lot of time reviewing the results and debugging code, but I will have missed something.
Summaries
Qualifying mainly comes down to training, but it’s useful to have some targets in mind. The summary reports below give those targets by highlighting the typical times needed for qualification in each age group and at every qualifying event.